ANALISIS MODEL KETAHANAN PANGAN JAWA TENGAH 2045: PENCAPAIAN VISI JAWA TENGAH SEBAGAI LUMBUNG PANGAN NASIONAL

Bistok Hasiholan  Simanjuntak; Tinjung Mary  Prihtanti; Edi  Wahyono; Eny Hari  Widowati; Arif  Sofianto; Herlina  Kurniawati; Wiwin  Widiastuti; Sri  Hestiningsih; Tri  Susilowati; Setyo Aji  Wijayanto; Ary  Arvianto

Bistok Hasiholan Simanjuntak Universitas Kristen Satyawacana
Tinjung Mary Prihtanti Universitas Kristen Satyawacana
Edi Wahyono Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Jawa Tengah
Eny Hari Widowati Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Jawa Tengah
Arif Sofianto Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Jawa Tengah
Herlina Kurniawati Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Jawa Tengah
Wiwin Widiastuti Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Jawa Tengah
Sri Hestiningsih Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Jawa Tengah
Tri Susilowati Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Jawa Tengah
Setyo Aji Wijayanto Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Jawa Tengah
Ary Arvianto Universitas Diponegoro

Abstract

Food Security faces the challenge of various development dynamics, both in food availability, affordability, and utilization. Central Java, as one of the national food barns, also faces serious future challenges related to food security, including a decrease in paddy fields and the number of farmers, climate threats, and various limitations of agricultural facilities/infrastructure aspects. This article refers to research on strengthening food security in 2025-2045 in Central Java, which is limited to aspects of rice food commodities in terms of quantity related to fulfilling consumption in 2045 and influencing factors. The study was conducted in 2023 with a sample location in Sukoharjo District, which has the highest Food Security Index (FSI) value in Central Java, and Banjarnegara District, which has a low FSI value. The research analysis technique uses a dynamic model simulation of food security by including production, supplies, and food consumption factors (rice). The results found that the amount of rice production in Central Java is directly influenced by rice production, yield, and population growth, as well as indirectly influenced by land area and factors supporting productivity. Agricultural land area has decreased due to land conversion. Central Java's rice supply will be adequate until 2045, but there are indications of a decline. From the consumption aspect, there is an increase due to the increase in population. It is necessary to implement upstream and downstream technology to support food security in Central Java Province, namely precision agriculture, superior varieties, agricultural mechanization, online marketing systems, harvest and post-harvest technology, and integrated logistics information systems. Policy support is also needed to accelerate technology implementation more quickly and efficiently, including support for infrastructure, counseling, simplify loan requirements, and food price policies.